hse100
0x4e770221a25d12f260f72302a982ad4bfb6d54cf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $91.0k
- Markets traded
- 950
- Open portfolio
- $110.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded950
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$544.84at 0.313Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2?
- +$383.27at 0.288Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?
- +$351.93at 0.431Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 20?
- +$350.36at 0.192Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?
- +$342.63at 0.473Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 20:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 20:40 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |