mercury777
0x4e73d4ae46d9a9f633938144ad10c19a893dac97
- Realised P&L
- $-16.6k
- Volume
- $742.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,127
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,127
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.706Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$1.7kat 0.677Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.7kat 0.377Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$1.7kat 0.587Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.7kat 0.585Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 00:48 | Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | BUY | 0.349563046 | $400.00 |
| 09-19 00:40 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 09-18 13:39 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $547.30 |
| 09-18 13:37 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $70.84 |
| 09-18 13:36 | San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $770.00 |
| 09-18 13:31 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.56 | $308.00 |
| 09-18 13:02 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.6096786992 | $700.00 |
| 09-18 06:39 | Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima Carp | BUY | 0.39 | $312.00 |
| 09-18 06:38 | KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha Eagles | BUY | 0.29 | $459.46 |
| 09-18 06:36 | KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz | BUY | 0.51 | $81.47 |
| 09-18 06:30 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4 | $500.00 |
| 09-18 06:21 | Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 03:16 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0796425796 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Saitama Seibu Lions | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 06:24 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $100.00 |