qquic
0x4e7317d5bc3dc5825be71a46c8d4ce0b8aeaf438
- Realised P&L
- $-1.61
- Volume
- $791.16
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.026 | $1.81 | −$18.19 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.00at 0.400US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$10.31at 0.710Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
- +$10.00at 0.660US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$5.15at 0.660US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$4.40at 0.540US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 16:13 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999992 | $25.24 |
| 04-22 16:07 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $25.23 |
| 04-22 16:02 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999956 | $25.24 |
| 04-20 07:51 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 04-20 07:51 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 04-20 07:48 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 02-02 07:26 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.998 | $30.24 |
| 01-30 05:23 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | BUY | 0.7319999919 | $14.40 |
| 01-30 05:13 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 01-30 00:34 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.63 | $34.40 |
| 01-29 23:22 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.5399999927 | $29.49 |
| 01-29 23:17 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.51 | $29.49 |
| 01-29 22:54 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.4948200419 | $28.61 |
| 01-29 22:53 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.51 | $12.54 |
| 01-29 22:53 | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SELL | 0.44 | $16.07 |