PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fradd

0x4e6a520a87e6426607dd96b82363cdf5460c0ead

Realised P&L
$242.16
Volume
$729.1k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$128.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.4990.823$75.80+$29.84
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0500.105$52.45+$27.47
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? · Up0.8500.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? · Down0.8300.000$0.00$23.36
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28? · Up0.5230.000$0.00$6.13
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? · Up0.5640.000$0.00$3.18
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27? · Up0.5200.000$0.00$90.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1? · Down0.5100.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? · Up0.5000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.69
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? · Down0.5160.000$0.00$7.05
Will Google be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27? · Up0.5270.000$0.00$49.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up0.8200.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 12:47Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.499$45.96
08-21 17:01Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.1$19.80
08-12 09:59Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?BUY0.85$25.00
08-11 14:27Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11?BUY0.8099999906$12.04
08-10 13:16Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
08-09 09:24Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9?BUY0.8299999677$23.36
08-08 13:55Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?BUY0.8$18.69
08-07 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?BUY0.8599999959$16.80
08-06 14:55Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.92$14.80
08-05 12:28Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.8099999916$7.70
08-04 13:38Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.7799999116$6.00
07-27 05:49Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.7899999969$33.00
07-26 06:32Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?BUY0.64$21.00
07-25 13:51Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25?BUY0.8499999939$14.00
07-24 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?BUY0.8199999945$6.00