fradd
0x4e6a520a87e6426607dd96b82363cdf5460c0ead
- Realised P&L
- $242.16
- Volume
- $729.1k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $128.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.31at 0.014Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
- +$43.52at 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?
- +$36.28at 0.006Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
- +$31.57at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26?
- +$25.76at 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 12:47 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.499 | $45.96 |
| 08-21 17:01 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $19.80 |
| 08-12 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.00 |
| 08-11 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BUY | 0.8099999906 | $12.04 |
| 08-10 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? | BUY | 0.8299999677 | $23.36 |
| 08-08 13:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $18.69 |
| 08-07 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $16.80 |
| 08-06 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $14.80 |
| 08-05 12:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.8099999916 | $7.70 |
| 08-04 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.7799999116 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 05:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.7899999969 | $33.00 |
| 07-26 06:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BUY | 0.64 | $21.00 |
| 07-25 13:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BUY | 0.8499999939 | $14.00 |
| 07-24 13:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BUY | 0.8199999945 | $6.00 |