somkutim
0x4e667450aa5c540dccd6bd9a59d6b0f57998d748
- Realised P&L
- $99.24
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $231.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.121 | $162.51 | −$169.19 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.385 | $68.73 | −$16.88 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 19:59 | Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 10-23 15:45 | Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4795528266 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 20:13 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | SELL | 0.340412 | $17.02 |
| 10-21 19:43 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.311170493 | $266.00 |
| 10-21 19:40 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.2651304654 | $99.00 |
| 10-21 19:39 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.1895591194 | $195.97 |