peru2026
0x4e6382644fcf6dd8f37278d70deb9c40a825caef
- Realised P&L
- $-43.61
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $35.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.009 | $18.30 | −$6.70 |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.071 | $17.62 | −$7.38 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 06:20 | Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.1007307918 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 06:19 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0129770313 | $25.00 |
| 04-17 04:22 | Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2799999916 | $20.00 |
| 04-15 06:26 | Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1636053072 | $26.39 |
| 04-15 00:34 | Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3099999968 | $50.00 |