0x4E607d1668B19a12AB636CA092c1c1D27729Be19-1763891012909
0x4e607d1668b19a12ab636ca092c1c1d27729be19
- Realised P&L
- $-36.86
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $39.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.731 | 0.600 | $26.27 | −$5.73 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.115 | $13.53 | −$6.47 |
| Missouri vs. Kansas · Kansas | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Lakers (-8.5) · Lakers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Eagles vs. Cowboys · Eagles | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ohio State vs. Texas · Ohio State | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.00 |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.10at 0.502Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$43.19at 0.613Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
- +$0.35at 0.934Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:39 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7308931172 | $32.00 |
| 10-10 13:38 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 13:53 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.760447914 | $237.69 |
| 09-24 15:41 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6011826954 | $187.91 |
| 09-12 16:39 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.4699999985 | $74.00 |
| 09-12 14:33 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 20:59 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 20:59 | Missouri vs. Kansas | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 20:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 20:51 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 16:19 | Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.72 | $318.99 |
| 09-10 09:11 | Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4895463183 | $216.89 |
| 11-24 07:32 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24? | BUY | 0.56 | $42.00 |
| 11-23 10:20 | Eagles vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 11-23 10:17 | Spread: Lakers (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |