PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfgr5r4

0x4e531e18c31775192ad1ddb6581d8ba8d31373ab

Realised P&L
$829.89
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$16.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 10? · No0.9970.987$10.83−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10? · No0.9980.991$6.12−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 7? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$13.06
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 · Over0.8100.000$0.00−$7.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 12:23Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 10?BUY0.997$10.95
10-08 10:09Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10?BUY0.998$6.17
09-30 02:09Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 1?BUY0.996$6.35
08-31 15:28Will the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on September 1?BUY0.998$6.12
07-07 01:28Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 8?BUY0.991$9.35
07-05 02:36Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 6 above $3.00?BUY0.98$12.33
06-24 02:00Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 25?BUY0.975$11.09
06-16 01:36Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 17?BUY0.98$20.14
06-09 01:08Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 10?BUY0.985$10.54
06-02 00:41Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 3?BUY0.9850742857$10.34
05-28 00:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 28?BUY0.95$9.19
05-19 00:53Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.96$14.39
05-13 01:04Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 11 2026?BUY0.974$10.52
05-11 00:42Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 12?BUY0.99$17.83
04-20 10:57Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5BUY0.75$14.77