dtinvest
0x4e4fc4f11a52b324235a0fc1a4b702b58034a45f
- Realised P&L
- $-455.71
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $19.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.495 | $19.04 | +$4.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.020 | $0.67 | −$1.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.446 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? · No | 0.414 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.69at 0.879Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)
- +$19.10at 0.886Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21?
- +$11.20at 0.860Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Petah Tikva FC: Hapoel Petah Tikva FC O/U 1.5
- +$10.60at 0.947Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20?
- +$10.00at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-21 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8882484726 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8699999963 | $26.00 |
| 09-21 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8622839797 | $22.00 |
| 09-21 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6777996065 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 18:33 | Spread: SK Brann (-1.5) | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 18:31 | Spread: SK Brann (-1.5) | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4570004088 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4361185441 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.448995664 | $28.00 |
| 09-20 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3803777946 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0068662141 | $2.51 |
| 09-20 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.93527687 | $100.00 |