akukaria
0x4e4e1305a5c48bf5964ebb3968b85b86de71bb20
- Realised P&L
- $-2.89
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.180 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will MrBeast hit 141 billion views by September 30? · No | 0.032 | 0.023 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.095 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.99at 0.052Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:06 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:06 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-16 12:31 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:49 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.0 and 36.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.0495049505 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:35 | Will MrBeast hit 141 billion views by September 30? | BUY | 0.0317596561 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:10 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |