ivm98
0x4e4ca20398446cc2627cfa9b4b2b1a8c65922918
- Realised P&L
- $160.62
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 183
- Open portfolio
- $49.03
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded183
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.66at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?
- +$49.00at 0.510Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$45.65at 0.087Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
- +$41.36at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 4?
- +$23.58at 0.597Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.057 | $0.29 |
| 08-04 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.60 |
| 08-04 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.52 |
| 08-04 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.2858055806 | $3.18 |
| 08-04 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.58 | $5.65 |
| 08-04 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.51 |
| 08-04 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.82 |
| 08-01 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 07-29 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on July 29? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 07-14 07:15 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%? | BUY | 0.07757 | $3.88 |
| 07-14 07:15 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | BUY | 0.087 | $4.35 |
| 07-14 07:14 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.185848 | $9.29 |
| 07-14 04:38 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.046 | $2.30 |