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Traders

ivm98

0x4e4ca20398446cc2627cfa9b4b2b1a8c65922918

Realised P&L
$160.62
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
183
Open portfolio
$49.03

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded183
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 18:15Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 4?BUY0.057$0.29
08-04 18:06Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 6?SELL0.3$0.60
08-04 14:12Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 5?SELL0.22$3.52
08-04 09:36Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5?SELL0.43$1.60
08-04 03:42Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?SELL0.2858055806$3.18
08-04 03:22Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4?SELL0.58$5.65
08-04 03:22Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?SELL0.31$6.51
08-04 03:22Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.42$8.82
08-01 19:30Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?BUY0.06$2.00
08-01 18:15Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?BUY0.03$0.18
07-29 18:15Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on July 29?BUY0.05$0.25
07-14 07:15Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?BUY0.07757$3.88
07-14 07:15Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?BUY0.087$4.35
07-14 07:14Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?BUY0.185848$9.29
07-14 04:38Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.046$2.30
Trader ivm98 · PolyBot