ivm98
0x4e4ca20398446cc2627cfa9b4b2b1a8c65922918
- Realised P&L
- $30.44
- Volume
- $35.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,178
- Open portfolio
- $118.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,178
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.52at 0.692Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 26?
- +$54.55at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?
- +$51.48at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?
- +$49.00at 0.510Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$47.90at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:37 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.746 | $11.15 |
| 09-18 22:53 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.72 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 21:59 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.74 | $10.89 |
| 09-18 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 09-18 20:40 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.67 | $7.44 |
| 09-18 20:20 | Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.49 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.68 |
| 09-18 19:58 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 09-18 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.86 | $15.48 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.9629999972 | $9.65 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-18 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |