PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ivm98

0x4e4ca20398446cc2627cfa9b4b2b1a8c65922918

Realised P&L
$30.44
Volume
$35.4k
Markets traded
1,178
Open portfolio
$118.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,178
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 18? · No0.9801.000$99.95+$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18? · No0.9001.000$10.99+$1.09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · No0.8600.345$6.21$9.27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 19? · Yes0.0910.009$0.54$4.91
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 19? · Yes0.0910.002$0.12$5.33
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on September 19? · Yes0.0910.002$0.12$5.33
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 19? · Yes0.0910.002$0.09$5.36
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 19? · Yes0.0910.002$0.09$5.36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 19? · Yes0.0910.005$0.06$0.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on September 18? · Yes0.0910.001$0.03$5.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 18? · Yes0.0910.001$0.03$5.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 18? · Yes0.0910.001$0.03$5.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 18? · Yes0.0910.001$0.03$5.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 18? · Yes0.0910.001$0.03$5.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 18? · Yes0.0910.001$0.03$5.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 23:37LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsBUY0.746$11.15
09-18 22:53LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.72$5.00
09-18 21:59LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.74$10.89
09-18 20:41Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18?SELL0.99$5.94
09-18 20:40Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?BUY0.67$7.44
09-18 20:20Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?BUY0.76$7.49
09-18 20:00Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?BUY0.74$7.68
09-18 19:58Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.9$5.40
09-18 16:36Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.86$15.48
09-18 15:58Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?BUY0.52$5.20
09-18 15:58Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.72$7.20
09-18 15:58Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 19?BUY0.85$8.50
09-18 15:58Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 19?BUY0.9629999972$9.65
09-18 15:58Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 19?BUY0.93$9.30
09-18 13:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.44$4.40