fgjyu4
0x4e3e2a3fe214956c85ec2bd0f43a5682a4fbe531
- Realised P&L
- $10.14
- Volume
- $32.5k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $34.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.954 | 0.975 | $34.11 | +$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.11at 0.963Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
- +$0.69at 0.981Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14?
- +$0.56at 0.985Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?
- +$0.55at 0.984Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10?
- +$0.53at 0.986Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.954 | $33.39 |
| 09-19 08:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.988 | $33.59 |
| 09-14 14:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 14? | BUY | 0.994 | $33.80 |
| 09-13 07:09 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.985 | $32.51 |
| 09-11 02:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.989 | $32.64 |
| 09-10 15:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 10? | BUY | 0.989 | $32.64 |
| 09-08 15:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.983 | $31.46 |
| 09-08 03:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.87 |
| 09-07 15:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.94 |
| 08-31 15:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.69 |
| 08-30 15:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.84 |
| 08-29 03:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.993 | $30.78 |
| 08-28 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.85 |
| 08-26 14:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.994 | $29.82 |
| 08-26 01:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $37.62 |