Povkis
0x4e3b82366181541925f7127f0147c393199b1af9
- Realised P&L
- $-33.16
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $94.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.10at 0.370Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$35.45at 0.220Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$9.71at 0.340Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$7.06at 0.680Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
- +$5.63at 0.640zkSync airdrop by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:55 | Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 17:53 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 17:49 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | SELL | 0.47 | $27.00 |
| 06-29 08:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2349999483 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 08:28 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 08:27 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0509999762 | $2.00 |
| 05-17 17:58 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 17:56 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0529999736 | $2.00 |
| 04-28 13:09 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 13:01 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0466200466 | $4.00 |
| 02-19 11:55 | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 02-19 11:54 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1150086256 | $5.00 |
| 02-18 14:03 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 02-18 14:00 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0186126303 | $5.00 |
| 02-18 13:58 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |