PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Povkis

0x4e3b82366181541925f7127f0147c393199b1af9

Realised P&L
$-33.16
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$94.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.2170.745$42.80+$30.30
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.605$16.81+$11.81
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0950.100$11.56+$0.56
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4500.430$9.56$0.44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.205$9.32$10.68
Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1700.155$4.56$0.44
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0510.001$0.10$9.82
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$3.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.2600.000$0.00$15.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$11.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$5.00
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? · No0.3200.000$0.00$3.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$2.00
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 17:55Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-15 17:53Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
09-15 17:49Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?SELL0.47$27.00
06-29 08:28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2349999483$3.00
06-29 08:28Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$2.00
06-29 08:27Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0509999762$2.00
05-17 17:58Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
05-17 17:56Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0529999736$2.00
04-28 13:09MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
04-28 13:01Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0466200466$4.00
02-19 11:55Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?BUY0.32$3.00
02-19 11:54Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.1150086256$5.00
02-18 14:03Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
02-18 14:00Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.0186126303$5.00
02-18 13:58Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.3399999633$5.00