PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

115

0x4e2efa4339cdd564da440893feaa4056ab5ff747

Realised P&L
$517.98
Volume
$448.0k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$751.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes0.0970.460$562.47+$443.65
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.0900.615$188.88+$161.24
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$9.25
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$3.61
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$13.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$5.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 13:45Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?SELL0.946$378.40
08-23 13:44Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?BUY0.947$378.80
08-04 13:00Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?SELL0.1$32.69
07-21 08:15Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.097$67.90
07-20 16:54Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.098$1.96
07-20 16:54Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.098$21.56
07-19 12:25Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?BUY0.063$28.05
07-18 17:32Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.098$3.63
07-18 12:12Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?BUY0.062$4.34
07-17 19:04Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.099$4.46
07-14 20:09Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.185$9.25
06-28 18:56Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.19$3.61
06-14 19:26Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.26$13.00
06-13 17:52Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.059$5.90
06-13 17:50Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.09$9.90