Tadiv33
0x4e2acfaa06e2191ef78548ea07325a6a91feb339
- Realised P&L
- $-218.94
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $119.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.055 | $119.10 | +$9.11 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.80 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-12.26at 0.057Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
- +$-16.27at 0.076Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
- +$-47.10at 0.051Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 14:48 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0507955272 | $110.00 |
| 06-25 19:16 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 06-25 19:15 | Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 06-25 19:11 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.80 |
| 06-25 19:04 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.0029557217 | $2.90 |
| 03-13 22:16 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0577345684 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 22:15 | Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | BUY | 0.0767592785 | $15.00 |
| 03-13 22:10 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.055 | $0.76 |
| 03-13 22:00 | Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | BUY | 0.075 | $1.49 |
| 03-13 21:33 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.055 | $0.82 |
| 03-13 21:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1276993921 | $29.62 |
| 03-13 21:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.0509999991 | $50.00 |
| 03-13 17:42 | Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | BUY | 0.0616022248 | $70.00 |
| 03-13 17:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 03-13 17:28 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.0353112417 | $20.00 |