mumumi
0x4e29c2fd0057a6e580bb70c8ca287e3ff572c99c
- Realised P&L
- $-692.47
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $156.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.922 | 0.934 | $40.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.966 | 0.963 | $39.85 | −$0.14 |
| Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.984 | $29.52 | +$0.45 |
| Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.976 | $20.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.933 | $11.12 | +$0.27 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.955 | 0.992 | $11.02 | +$0.41 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.853 | 0.160 | $3.75 | −$16.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.00at 0.390Ethereum above $1,600 on April 18?
- +$71.65at 0.600Kraken vs. Blackhawks
- +$62.36at 0.520Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?
- +$57.56at 0.410Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$45.26at 0.570Ethereum above $1,800 on May 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 07:10 | Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9219999984 | $40.00 |
| 08-16 07:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9659999992 | $40.00 |
| 08-09 08:03 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 08-09 07:55 | Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.85 |
| 04-06 09:04 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999986 | $23.82 |
| 04-06 08:53 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999751 | $25.00 |
| 04-06 08:53 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 04-06 08:52 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999659 | $25.00 |
| 04-06 08:52 | Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999751 | $25.00 |
| 04-06 08:46 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 03-10 10:13 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999998 | $32.21 |
| 03-10 09:58 | Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9709999995 | $50.00 |
| 03-10 09:58 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8999999842 | $40.00 |
| 03-10 09:57 | Will BNB dip to $300 in March? | BUY | 0.9859999821 | $20.00 |
| 02-23 19:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $50.92 |