gongju
0x4e279e2c347a7dd200a91d46ec60852ec7e31c22
- Realised P&L
- $-197.83
- Volume
- $731.1k
- Markets traded
- 985
- Open portfolio
- $115.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded985
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $99.75 | −$0.05 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.993 | $6.95 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 9? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.714 | $3.57 | −$1.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.66at 0.780Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?
- +$37.64at 0.061Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$28.04at 0.460Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$23.62at 0.540Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?
- +$14.70at 0.959Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 09:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 10-06 09:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 10-06 09:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 09:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.98 |
| 10-06 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 09:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 09:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-12 16:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 09-12 16:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.01 |
| 08-30 15:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-30 15:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 15:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 09:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 09:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 09:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |