turbi1
0x4e1a4a517e004ed049f2ac33e08c9a44358b1e2a
- Realised P&L
- $437.00
- Volume
- $147.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,073
- Open portfolio
- $116.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,073
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.769 | $116.69 | +$16.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Up | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$274.58at 0.723Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$128.90at 0.626Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$112.56at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$108.58at 0.851Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$107.97at 0.736Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 14:20 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.658999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 01:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 01:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 01:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 01:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 02:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 02:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 23:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 23:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 22:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $120.00 |
| 08-01 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6520579148 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $3.45 |