ikard
0x4e19fe5e65aec76ba5ba4b918c2554b3c5c110c8
- Realised P&L
- $-714.76
- Volume
- $58.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,756
- Open portfolio
- $6.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,756
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.27at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$32.75at 0.318Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$26.83at 0.453Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
- +$25.15at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on November 2? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 11:33 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on November 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 08:41 | Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 07:47 | Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 31? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 00:00 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on November 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 00:00 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 05:01 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 05:01 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 01:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 30? | BUY | 0.8299998465 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 01:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on October 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 01:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 30? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 01:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 30? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 00:00 | Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 29? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 05:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 28? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 01:04 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 28? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |