PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ikard

0x4e19fe5e65aec76ba5ba4b918c2554b3c5c110c8

Realised P&L
$-714.76
Volume
$58.6k
Markets traded
3,756
Open portfolio
$6.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,756
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on November 2? · Yes0.9000.840$1.87−$0.13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on November 2? · Yes0.8800.695$1.58−$0.42
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on November 2? · Yes0.8000.525$1.31−$0.69
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2? · Yes0.6900.335$0.97−$1.03
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2? · Yes0.4200.100$0.48−$1.52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on November 2? · Yes0.2900.055$0.38−$1.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$6.25
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$0.75
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00−$2.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.7400.000$0.00−$3.65
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00−$1.70
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:02WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on November 2?BUY0.88$2.00
11-01 11:33WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on November 2?BUY0.9$2.00
11-01 08:41Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 31?BUY0.95$2.00
11-01 07:47Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 31?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
11-01 00:00WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on November 2?BUY0.8$2.00
11-01 00:00WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2?BUY0.6899999345$2.00
10-31 05:01WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2?BUY0.419999979$2.00
10-31 05:01WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on November 2?BUY0.2899999884$2.00
10-30 01:39WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 30?BUY0.8299998465$2.00
10-30 01:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on October 30?BUY0.78$2.00
10-30 01:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 30?BUY0.4499999438$2.00
10-30 01:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 30?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
10-30 00:00Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 29?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
10-28 05:39WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 28?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
10-28 01:04WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 28?BUY0.8699999913$2.00