AlizCaridad
0x4e184bdd4150ba6838d5c7124d9533c85a1da894
- Realised P&L
- $-46.74
- Volume
- $846.75
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $1.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.570 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.038 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.89at 0.360Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?
- +$6.88at 0.225Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$5.63at 0.641Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.00at 0.200Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?
- +$3.68at 0.620Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 15:39 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 14:59 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 01:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5839994347 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 02:38 | UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 02:10 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 01:11 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 09:18 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | SELL | 0.48 | $1.55 |
| 06-11 06:29 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.65 | $2.60 |
| 06-10 12:20 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4699999831 | $2.50 |
| 06-04 01:13 | Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.2 | $0.85 |
| 06-03 23:17 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3699998727 | $1.57 |
| 05-27 23:43 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.4199999881 | $12.00 |
| 05-23 02:34 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 01:16 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 00:53 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |