OneDollarBot
0x4e14d4d80215352a1f2ddb21aae90ba36ad786f0
- Realised P&L
- $6.4k
- Volume
- $187.3k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $101.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.638 | 0.635 | $101.71 | −$0.50 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.60 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during press conference? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.47 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during remarks at the Pentagon? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.00 |
| Will Trump say "Semper" during Coast Guard event? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.60 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Fox & Friends appearance? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
| Will Trump say "World War" during remarks at the Pentagon? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.62 |
| Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.88 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.180Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$917.13at 0.183Will Trump say "Ethiopia" during the State of the Union address?
- +$857.51at 0.100Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$595.08at 0.175MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$587.57at 0.099Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 03:48 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 09-14 03:48 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 09-14 03:48 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $42.66 |
| 09-11 14:31 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6473364854 | $238.23 |
| 09-11 14:03 | Will Trump say "Iran" during remarks at the Pentagon? | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 09-11 13:48 | Will Trump say "World War" during remarks at the Pentagon? | BUY | 0.45 | $19.62 |
| 09-03 08:19 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $69.30 |
| 08-27 14:06 | Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.89 | $35.60 |
| 08-27 14:03 | Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.89 | $35.60 |
| 08-27 14:03 | Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.93 |
| 08-27 14:03 | Will Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 08-21 23:38 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | SELL | 0.39 | $29.71 |
| 08-21 23:38 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-21 23:04 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.47 | $30.80 |
| 08-21 23:03 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.4214481409 | $12.92 |