PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OneDollarBot

0x4e14d4d80215352a1f2ddb21aae90ba36ad786f0

Realised P&L
$6.4k
Volume
$187.3k
Markets traded
255
Open portfolio
$101.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded255
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6380.635$101.71$0.50
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00$58.60
Will Trump say "Transgender" during press conference? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$34.47
Will Trump say "Iran" during remarks at the Pentagon? · No0.2700.000$0.00$81.00
Will Trump say "Semper" during Coast Guard event? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$11.60
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Fox & Friends appearance? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$16.20
Will Trump say "World War" during remarks at the Pentagon? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$19.62
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County? · Yes0.3510.000$0.00$15.88
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$28.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 03:48Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$19.20
09-14 03:48Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$32.00
09-14 03:48Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$42.66
09-11 14:31Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6473364854$238.23
09-11 14:03Will Trump say "Iran" during remarks at the Pentagon?BUY0.27$81.00
09-11 13:48Will Trump say "World War" during remarks at the Pentagon?BUY0.45$19.62
09-03 08:19Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.63$69.30
08-27 14:06Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.89$35.60
08-27 14:03Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.89$35.60
08-27 14:03Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.82$4.93
08-27 14:03Will Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.86$17.20
08-21 23:38Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?SELL0.39$29.71
08-21 23:38Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?SELL0.4$8.00
08-21 23:04Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?BUY0.47$30.80
08-21 23:03Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?BUY0.4214481409$12.92