DegreesDegen
0x4e1248be09b1af11927137bbd71782520089354c
- Realised P&L
- $-428.22
- Volume
- $196.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,482
- Open portfolio
- $131.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,482
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$259.84at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?
- +$169.58at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?
- +$104.63at 0.018Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?
- +$104.14at 0.028Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?
- +$98.00at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-01 21:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.84 |
| 07-31 03:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.43 |
| 07-31 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.67 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 07-28 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.00 |
| 07-27 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.00 |
| 06-27 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-27 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 06-25 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.74 |
| 06-24 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.00 |
| 06-24 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.00 |