DegreesDegen
0x4e1248be09b1af11927137bbd71782520089354c
- Realised P&L
- $-615.49
- Volume
- $206.3k
- Markets traded
- 5,212
- Open portfolio
- $23.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,212
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$259.53at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?
- +$169.58at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?
- +$104.64at 0.018Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?
- +$104.14at 0.028Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?
- +$98.00at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 04:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 05:52 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.46 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 04:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 21:44 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 21:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 23:45 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.58 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |