KK972026
0x4e0d9acafddae83f27a9806487c09abc9138f24f
- Realised P&L
- $5.89
- Volume
- $31.75
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $8.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · Yes | 0.878 | 0.830 | $8.61 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.05at 0.500Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$2.84at 0.689Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:51 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.8777714613 | $9.11 |
| 08-28 19:25 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.6799999255 | $6.21 |
| 08-28 19:24 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.11 |
| 08-04 11:29 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |