0x4e02dc7d6dec4f443b9881ed7922ff56663e5d08
- Realised P&L
- $-95.42
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $26.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.77at 0.534Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$92.08at 0.506Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
- +$90.89at 0.628Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$90.03at 0.575Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$80.56at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0075432479 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:48 | Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.8499999614 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 11:23 | Will Arema FC vs. Persik Kediri end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.32 |
| 09-18 11:23 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 11:23 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 11:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 18? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 10:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 10:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0031020352 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 10:42 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 10:42 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 10:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 18? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 10:16 | Will Arema FC vs. Persik Kediri end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1499999864 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 10:05 | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Giant Pandas (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group C | BUY | 0.9879999984 | $5.00 |