PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4e00b0fdb8f1441986052035466f6c8966c4e7dd

0x4e00b0fdb8f1441986052035466f6c8966c4e7dd

Realised P&L
$1.49
Volume
$23.55
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$10.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? · Yes0.4000.530$2.65+$0.65
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? · Yes0.4200.445$2.23+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? · Yes0.4200.415$2.08−$0.03
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? · Yes0.3500.305$1.77−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2? · Yes0.3500.345$1.38−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:03Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1?BUY0.42$2.10
10-01 08:02Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?SELL0.971$3.64
10-01 03:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2?BUY0.35$1.40
10-01 03:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?BUY0.56$2.10
10-01 02:05Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.4$2.00
10-01 00:02Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.35$2.03
10-01 00:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?BUY0.42$2.10