0x4e00b0fdb8f1441986052035466f6c8966c4e7dd
0x4e00b0fdb8f1441986052035466f6c8966c4e7dd
- Realised P&L
- $1.49
- Volume
- $23.55
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $10.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.530 | $2.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.445 | $2.23 | +$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.415 | $2.08 | −$0.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.305 | $1.77 | −$0.26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.345 | $1.38 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 10-01 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.971 | $3.64 |
| 10-01 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.40 |
| 10-01 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.10 |
| 10-01 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 00:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.03 |
| 10-01 00:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |