PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4df7a285f96e500be90d72e5ec11aeab576bc1bd

Realised P&L
$386.35
Volume
$141.2k
Markets traded
1,766
Open portfolio
$389.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,766
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.1801.000$195.89+$160.63
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · No0.4901.000$15.00+$7.65
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.9151.000$13.55+$1.15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · No0.4061.000$10.00+$5.93
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · No0.4781.000$10.00+$5.22
Germany leading at halftime? · No0.5301.000$10.00+$4.70
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) · Portugal0.4401.000$10.00+$5.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.4001.000$10.00+$6.00
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · No0.0800.065$9.72$2.24
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? · Yes0.8401.000$7.01+$1.12
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.935$6.74$0.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Down0.5351.000$5.37+$2.49
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? · Yes0.2621.000$5.00+$3.69
Paraguay vs. France: Second half draw? · No0.7601.000$5.00+$1.20
England leading at halftime? · No0.4601.000$5.00+$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 02:11Argentina leading at halftime?BUY0.49$2.45
07-05 18:34Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?BUY0.53$2.65
07-04 19:25Paraguay vs. France: Second half draw?BUY0.76$3.80
07-04 00:51Colombia leading at halftime?BUY0.51$2.55
07-03 22:55Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York YankeesBUY0.57$2.85
07-03 10:32Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?BUY0.51$2.55
07-02 14:32Spain leading at halftime?BUY0.43$2.15
07-01 14:00England leading at halftime?BUY0.46$2.30
07-01 00:51Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?BUY0.47$2.35
06-30 17:18France leading at halftime?BUY0.42$2.10
06-30 10:32Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSELL0.74$5.21
06-30 10:32Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.7699999877$5.00
06-30 10:32Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSELL0.66$5.15
06-30 10:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00
06-30 10:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.75$5.00