0x4df7a285f96e500be90d72e5ec11aeab576bc1bd
- Realised P&L
- $386.35
- Volume
- $141.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,766
- Open portfolio
- $389.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,766
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.54at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
- +$227.63at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$207.86at 0.492Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$207.28at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$203.50at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 02:11 | Argentina leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-05 18:34 | Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 07-04 19:25 | Paraguay vs. France: Second half draw? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 07-04 00:51 | Colombia leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-03 22:55 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 07-03 10:32 | Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-02 14:32 | Spain leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 07-01 14:00 | England leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 07-01 00:51 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 06-30 17:18 | France leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 06-30 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $5.21 |
| 06-30 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $5.15 |
| 06-30 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |