PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4Df7305B91b8dbbBd982935cf7aeF9a37f6a832d-1771845956938

0x4df7305b91b8dbbbd982935cf7aef9a37f6a832d

Realised P&L
$-0.69
Volume
$27.9k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$15.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes0.9991.000$15.99+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 03:21Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2?BUY0.999$15.98
07-02 03:00Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$7.56
06-24 08:24Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.16
05-19 09:39Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.006$11.88
05-13 07:48Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.005$9.40
04-25 07:10Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.01$9.80
04-24 07:39Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.08
04-23 03:04Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.01$10.10
04-22 03:04Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.92
04-21 03:21Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.16
03-25 03:01Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.978$576.04