0x4Df7305B91b8dbbBd982935cf7aeF9a37f6a832d-1771845956938
0x4df7305b91b8dbbbd982935cf7aef9a37f6a832d
- Realised P&L
- $-0.69
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $15.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.99 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.11at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 5?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12?
- +$0.00at 0.010Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$0.00at 0.008Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 03:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 07-02 03:00 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.56 |
| 06-24 08:24 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.16 |
| 05-19 09:39 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $11.88 |
| 05-13 07:48 | Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.40 |
| 04-25 07:10 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.80 |
| 04-24 07:39 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 04-23 03:04 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 04-22 03:04 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 04-21 03:21 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.16 |
| 03-25 03:01 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.978 | $576.04 |