PolyBot

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Traders

0x4defdab6d6b49fe23db2d99b03381100dc2d9bd5

0x4defdab6d6b49fe23db2d99b03381100dc2d9bd5

Realised P&L
$-3.25
Volume
$45.79
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$3.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4900.560$1.14+$0.14
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.7200.700$0.97$0.03
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.7200.510$0.71$0.29
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.5400.135$0.25$0.75
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.037$0.10$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 05:27Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-20 21:25Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-19 07:10Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-18 22:28Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-16 02:26Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.78$1.00
09-15 17:28Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-15 09:24Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-14 22:29Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-14 13:58Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14?BUY0.759999696$1.00
09-14 05:53Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-13 21:52Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-11 01:42SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.64$1.00
09-10 17:39Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-10 09:02WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 10?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-09 22:13Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.69999972$1.00