McTraxerr
0x4decceb4f32291feb3abec12c66751d260048c73
- Realised P&L
- $-31.58
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $47.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.049 | $24.50 | −$5.50 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.052 | $15.75 | −$2.25 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes | 0.180 | 0.055 | $5.50 | −$12.50 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.013 | $1.35 | −$1.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on May 10? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 10? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 8? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 9? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 8? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-07? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.66at 0.550MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$14.40at 0.280Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on May 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 14:10 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.00 |
| 06-28 13:48 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $21.00 |
| 05-15 10:44 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $31.32 |
| 05-07 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.25 |