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Lucky444444

0x4dec3cbaa7d805b54731bac0c4b8b8f15119001e

Realised P&L
$-191.80
Volume
$36.3k
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$15.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7? · Yes0.4370.675$9.26+$3.26
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7? · Yes0.3300.265$4.82$1.18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? · Yes0.7100.705$0.99$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 25? · Yes0.4850.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C · GAM Esports0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.7100.000$0.00$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 19? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$6.00
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) · ThunderTalk Gaming0.4200.000$0.00$10.00
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B · Karmine Corp0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Up0.2340.000$0.00$2.00
Solana Up or Down - July 11, 11AM ET · Up0.0430.000$0.00$2.44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31? · Yes0.7590.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 03:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-06 16:37Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?SELL0.97$11.05
08-06 16:25Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?SELL0.9571428571$26.80
08-06 15:29Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
08-06 15:23Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-06 15:03Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-06 14:57Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-06 14:50Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.52$1.00
08-06 14:19Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
08-06 11:54Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?BUY0.059999946$1.00
08-06 11:51Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?BUY0.059999946$1.00
08-06 11:51Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?BUY0.3842364299$10.00
08-06 10:49Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?BUY0.4347826087$5.00
08-06 10:49Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7?BUY0.3299999591$5.00
08-06 09:42Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
Trader Lucky444444 · PolyBot