PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lucky444444

0x4dec3cbaa7d805b54731bac0c4b8b8f15119001e

Realised P&L
$325.79
Volume
$56.8k
Markets traded
500
Open portfolio
$396.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded500
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 28? · No0.8901.000$112.30+$12.30
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 28? · No0.9670.996$102.90+$2.90
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on September 28? · No0.9991.000$100.05+$0.05
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 28? · No0.9901.000$45.43+$0.43
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? · No0.9901.000$15.14+$0.14
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 28? · Yes0.6570.985$14.99+$4.99
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on September 28? · No0.9991.000$6.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 25? · Yes0.4850.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 25? · Yes0.6460.000$0.00−$11.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 28? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C · GAM Esports0.0900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 29? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 14:20Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?SELL0.1$2.41
09-28 13:27Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-28 12:46Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-28 11:29Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-28 05:53Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 28?BUY0.6571227248$10.00
09-28 04:08Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 28?BUY0.9699999996$50.00
09-28 04:03Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on September 28?BUY0.999$6.00
09-28 03:37Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 28?BUY0.9649686511$50.00
09-28 03:34Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 28?BUY0.99$15.00
09-28 02:56Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 28?BUY0.9899999772$30.00
09-27 14:00Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 28?BUY0.8899999996$100.00
09-27 13:51Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on September 28?BUY0.999$100.00
09-27 13:49Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.9899999446$15.00
09-27 13:32Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.9989999988$444.00
09-27 12:55Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?SELL0.901948166$41.07