Lucky444444
0x4dec3cbaa7d805b54731bac0c4b8b8f15119001e
- Realised P&L
- $325.79
- Volume
- $56.8k
- Markets traded
- 500
- Open portfolio
- $396.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded500
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.53at 0.484Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 4?
- +$99.36at 0.470Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 26?
- +$88.00at 0.228Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?
- +$78.90at 0.530Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 26?
- +$76.61at 0.631Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.41 |
| 09-28 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:53 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6571227248 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 04:08 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 04:03 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 03:37 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9649686511 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 03:34 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 09-28 02:56 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9899999772 | $30.00 |
| 09-27 14:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 13:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 13:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9899999446 | $15.00 |
| 09-27 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9989999988 | $444.00 |
| 09-27 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.901948166 | $41.07 |