0x4De8941CeeC78F5305C552f877AAD518D403B0e2-1762188848562
0x4de8941ceec78f5305c552f877aad518d403b0e2
- Realised P&L
- $-154.99
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $0.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.045 | $0.46 | −$0.55 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.26 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Jirí Procházka | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.37 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.80at 0.637Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$25.45at 0.440Heat vs. Bulls
- +$21.18at 0.565UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)
- +$21.07at 0.147Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$21.03at 0.50076ers vs. Heat
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 20:14 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.6299999996 | $98.58 |
| 04-24 04:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.158 | $10.19 |
| 04-12 02:06 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $9.54 |
| 04-12 02:06 | UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $9.70 |
| 04-12 00:39 | UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | SELL | 0.999 | $25.08 |
| 04-12 00:38 | UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | SELL | 0.497 | $12.20 |
| 04-11 04:24 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0539999949 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 04:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1550000001 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 04:18 | UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.5899999866 | $14.63 |
| 04-11 04:17 | UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.4 | $9.64 |
| 03-30 21:45 | Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 03-30 21:45 | 76ers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $9.85 |
| 03-30 21:43 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 19:57 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2142933676 | $20.00 |
| 02-01 22:53 | Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.6510869565 | $29.95 |