PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4De8941CeeC78F5305C552f877AAD518D403B0e2-1762188848562

0x4de8941ceec78f5305c552f877aad518d403b0e2

Realised P&L
$-154.99
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$0.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$0.46$0.55
Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes0.3830.000$0.00$16.26
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Jirí Procházka0.5260.000$0.00$10.37
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 20:14Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.6299999996$98.58
04-24 04:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.158$10.19
04-12 02:06Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.2299999869$9.54
04-12 02:06UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5$9.70
04-12 00:39UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)SELL0.999$25.08
04-12 00:38UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)SELL0.497$12.20
04-11 04:24Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0539999949$10.00
04-11 04:23Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1550000001$10.00
04-11 04:18UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.5899999866$14.63
04-11 04:17UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.4$9.64
03-30 21:45Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
03-30 21:4576ers vs. HeatBUY0.4499999797$9.85
03-30 21:43US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.048999954$1.00
03-29 19:57US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.2142933676$20.00
02-01 22:53Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?BUY0.6510869565$29.95