PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4dE718EA6D5aEaFf27b7207F3E7025D47E151982-1774023276043

0x4de718ea6d5aeaff27b7207f3e7025d47e151982

Realised P&L
$-27.1k
Volume
$2.05M
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$41.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.7760.775$26.6k−$28.59
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.7460.997$12.2k+$3.1k
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7451.000$2.0k+$509.00
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B · PARIVISION0.6100.895$1.1k+$345.12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner · GamerLegion0.5000.000$0.00−$1.5k
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs · GamerLegion0.1340.000$0.00−$815.36
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs · Nemiga0.2800.000$0.00−$2.0k
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs · GamerLegion0.1800.000$0.00−$734.91
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4040.000$0.00−$2.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 07:46Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BBUY0.61$738.68
10-31 08:51Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.46$1.6k
10-30 18:14Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsSELL0.09$6.95
10-30 18:13Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsSELL0.09$233.39
10-30 18:08Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsSELL0.11$1.10
10-28 15:21Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.26$650.00
10-27 11:05Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageBUY0.28$1.2k
10-25 13:18Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageBUY0.52$5.20
10-24 09:27Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageBUY0.58$3.0k
10-23 15:58Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.64$448.63
10-23 14:42Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.42$420.00
10-18 20:49Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsBUY0.6$1.8k
10-16 08:20Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.56$253.66
10-16 08:20Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III PlayoffsBUY0.5881243916$465.24
10-16 08:20Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.67$68.12