PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4dE718EA6D5aEaFf27b7207F3E7025D47E151982-1774023276043

0x4de718ea6d5aeaff27b7207f3e7025d47e151982

Realised P&L
$-9.6k
Volume
$1.64M
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$13.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.7460.964$11.8k+$2.7k
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7450.926$1.9k+$363.00
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4040.025$134.75$2.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 17:47Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.35$560.00
08-20 08:27Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.597558$298.78
08-20 08:27Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6$61.22
05-25 19:31Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5BUY0.5$200.00
05-19 08:34Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.94$940.06
05-04 20:48Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?SELL0.0240461333$36.07
05-04 20:47Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)SELL0.001$3.00
04-14 15:50Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)BUY0.34$326.54
04-10 19:33Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?BUY0.45$217.58
04-10 19:32Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?BUY0.4785087751$484.36
03-20 17:11Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?BUY0.38$126.54
03-20 17:10Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?BUY0.379$10.01