0x4dE718EA6D5aEaFf27b7207F3E7025D47E151982-1774023276043
0x4de718ea6d5aeaff27b7207f3e7025d47e151982
- Realised P&L
- $-27.1k
- Volume
- $2.05M
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $41.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No | 0.776 | 0.775 | $26.6k | −$28.59 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.746 | 0.997 | $12.2k | +$3.1k |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.745 | 1.000 | $2.0k | +$509.00 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B · PARIVISION | 0.610 | 0.895 | $1.1k | +$345.12 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner · GamerLegion | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs · GamerLegion | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$815.36 |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs · Nemiga | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs · GamerLegion | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$734.91 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.9kat 0.128Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.0kat 0.330Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs
- +$5.1kat 0.492Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs
- +$4.7kat 0.407Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
- +$3.7kat 0.730Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 07:46 | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | BUY | 0.61 | $738.68 |
| 10-31 08:51 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.46 | $1.6k |
| 10-30 18:14 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.09 | $6.95 |
| 10-30 18:13 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.09 | $233.39 |
| 10-30 18:08 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 15:21 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.26 | $650.00 |
| 10-27 11:05 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.28 | $1.2k |
| 10-25 13:18 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-24 09:27 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.58 | $3.0k |
| 10-23 15:58 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $448.63 |
| 10-23 14:42 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 10-18 20:49 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.6 | $1.8k |
| 10-16 08:20 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.56 | $253.66 |
| 10-16 08:20 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs | BUY | 0.5881243916 | $465.24 |
| 10-16 08:20 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.67 | $68.12 |