heyranos
0x4ddc9fa3055fc42411d95f4fb03267102c64c06f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $167.0k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $20.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.021 | $20.15 | −$4.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.046Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$870.00at 0.070NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$730.00at 0.120France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
- +$692.47at 0.163Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$485.00at 0.015Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 20:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $180.00 |
| 10-21 19:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $24.20 |
| 10-21 19:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 10-21 19:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 10-21 19:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 10-21 19:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $66.89 |
| 10-21 18:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $214.34 |
| 10-21 16:17 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $119.27 |
| 10-21 16:03 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-21 15:30 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $41.50 |
| 10-21 15:27 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $258.50 |
| 10-21 06:36 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $730.00 |
| 10-20 23:38 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $370.00 |
| 10-19 21:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0317545579 | $11.11 |
| 10-19 19:22 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.34 | $340.00 |