0x4dd9bd3579bf69dd82ad9b8aa6bcfc5b9e11d1dd
0x4dd9bd3579bf69dd82ad9b8aa6bcfc5b9e11d1dd
- Realised P&L
- $2.49
- Volume
- $155.16
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $49.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.440 | 0.665 | $7.27 | +$2.46 |
| Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.495 | $5.18 | +$0.37 |
| Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-17? · No | 0.500 | 0.495 | $4.77 | −$0.05 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.435 | $4.65 | −$0.16 |
| Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-18? · No | 0.430 | 0.415 | $4.64 | −$0.17 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.395 | $4.62 | −$0.18 |
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.460 | $4.62 | −$0.20 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17? · No | 0.310 | 0.295 | $4.55 | −$0.23 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17? · No | 0.410 | 0.385 | $4.51 | −$0.29 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17? · No | 0.450 | 0.415 | $4.44 | −$0.37 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.87 |
| Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-10-14? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.68at 0.392Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-15?
- +$4.70at 0.512Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 00:03 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4099999675 | $4.80 |
| 10-16 13:56 | Will IK Sirius win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4799999841 | $4.82 |
| 10-16 13:56 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4499999953 | $4.81 |
| 10-16 03:51 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4299999812 | $4.81 |
| 10-16 01:33 | Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.82 |
| 10-15 09:55 | Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4599999885 | $4.81 |
| 10-14 23:59 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.3799999984 | $4.80 |
| 10-14 21:34 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3099999968 | $4.78 |
| 10-14 00:18 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4099999675 | $4.80 |
| 10-14 00:12 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4499999953 | $4.81 |
| 10-13 21:22 | Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.4399999671 | $4.81 |
| 10-12 00:44 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.4599999792 | $4.87 |
| 10-12 00:01 | Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4899999848 | $4.82 |
| 10-11 00:02 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.82 |