RayRay-666
0x4dd92b6e1171b6bed7530538b95f85787f493c35
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $523.4k
- Markets traded
- 8,521
- Open portfolio
- $689.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,521
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 5? · No | 0.987 | 1.000 | $289.28 | +$3.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 5? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $105.84 | +$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.994 | 1.000 | $90.84 | +$0.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on October 5? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $86.54 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on October 5? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $55.79 | +$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 5? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $36.17 | +$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 5? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $11.30 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 5? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $6.95 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 5? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $5.37 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 5? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.02 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.69at 0.958Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 10?
- +$42.37at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 12?
- +$31.90at 0.984Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 10?
- +$24.49at 0.939Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 12?
- +$24.31at 0.961Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.80504018 | $50.09 |
| 09-12 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.86 | $16.66 |
| 09-12 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.9 | $6.30 |
| 09-12 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-12 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-12 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-12 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-12 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.95 | $13.65 |
| 09-12 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.96 | $30.86 |
| 09-12 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.97 | $31.51 |
| 09-12 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.98 | $79.38 |
| 09-12 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.610225 | $36.61 |
| 09-12 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-12 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-12 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.70 |