skytrader123
0x4dd25d80bec83bc40b6406acc5af78fc26099014
- Realised P&L
- $-7.1k
- Volume
- $699.8k
- Markets traded
- 910
- Open portfolio
- $100.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded910
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Mavericks · Rockets | 0.409 | 0.480 | $70.36 | +$10.36 |
| Hawks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.720 | 0.715 | $29.79 | −$0.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Up | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Bueno · Gonzalo Bueno | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down | 0.246 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Down | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Lucas Poullain · Lui Maxted | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.334Heat vs. Hornets
- +$1.9kat 0.518Hawks vs. Heat
- +$1.5kat 0.347Warriors vs. Clippers
- +$1.5kat 0.259Bonn: Daniel Galan vs Max Hans Rehberg
- +$1.2kat 0.407England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:41 | Hawks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 04:34 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.4093109928 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 03:34 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 02:33 | Suns vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.6699999948 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 01:16 | Magic vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 01:08 | Magic vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.6799999937 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 01:03 | Timberwolves vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 15:31 | Seville: Felix Gill vs Sebastian Ofner | BUY | 0.4925137904 | $25.00 |
| 09-06 09:34 | China vs. Czechia | BUY | 0.8299999952 | $24.00 |
| 09-06 04:25 | US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien | SELL | 0.2 | $16.33 |
| 09-06 03:33 | Phan Thiet 3: Takuya Kumasaka vs Martin Borisiouk | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 09-06 03:32 | US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien | BUY | 0.4899999941 | $40.00 |
| 09-04 19:25 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.5553718941 | $30.00 |
| 08-30 05:20 | Zhangjiagang: Enzo Aguiard vs Jesse Delaney | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 02:28 | Zhangjiagang: Dominik Palan vs JiSung Nam | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $50.00 |