MoisesNS24
0x4dcbf058c3d2918faa4442d6dab17fc2ed1d6cef
- Realised P&L
- $-78.88
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $139.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.185 | $129.55 | −$17.51 |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.028 | $10.33 | −$6.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.55at 0.820Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
- +$0.37at 0.680 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$0.01at 0.610Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$-0.02at 0.410Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$-0.36at 0.820Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 17:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 19:38 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0447425474 | $16.51 |
| 09-06 19:36 | Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.209999999 | $147.06 |
| 04-28 18:51 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0379999962 | $9.36 |
| 04-28 17:53 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0379999989 | $31.00 |
| 04-28 17:52 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.62 |
| 04-28 17:52 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.067 | $0.70 |
| 04-28 17:52 | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.19 |
| 04-28 17:51 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.202673723 | $4.40 |
| 04-28 17:51 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 17:51 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.23 |
| 04-28 17:51 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.89 |
| 04-28 05:33 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 15:57 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.37 |
| 04-27 15:55 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.54 |