0x4dCB2b9af2Fd6324abc96e9e0cb6B908c08f2e90-1764880012517
0x4dcb2b9af2fd6324abc96e9e0cb6b908c08f2e90
- Realised P&L
- $-222.66
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.425 | $2.2k | −$132.87 |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.365 | $76.38 | −$19.64 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.27at 0.296Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$7.45at 0.740Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$5.71at 0.726Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
- +$1.40at 0.570Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$-0.23at 0.880Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 17:16 | Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $15.00 |
| 05-03 16:37 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.08 |
| 05-03 16:30 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.4588436365 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 17:41 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 17:41 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 17:41 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.0038609143 | $1.75 |
| 04-29 17:41 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.9891828218 | $118.28 |
| 04-24 18:17 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.9969999934 | $119.22 |
| 04-22 19:57 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 03-20 17:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999999 | $1.5k |
| 03-01 17:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $630.00 |
| 12-13 10:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.48 | $42.00 |
| 12-13 10:02 | Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $21.40 |
| 12-13 10:01 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.87 | $19.77 |
| 12-11 20:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4699999964 | $29.00 |