0x4dcADCD1502a3674fE05942BB533F121b8a35c55-1769945683740
0x4dcadcd1502a3674fe05942bb533f121b8a35c55
- Realised P&L
- $456.53
- Volume
- $43.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $554.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$499.97at 0.191Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$114.69at 0.472Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
- +$93.63at 0.522England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$72.09at 0.414Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$68.15at 0.600Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:41 | Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 18:37 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0668558097 | $101.30 |
| 10-24 17:29 | Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.022 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 17:29 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.033 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 17:24 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.2886784933 | $90.00 |
| 10-24 17:23 | Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $90.00 |
| 10-24 17:17 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.71 | $176.61 |
| 07-21 21:35 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $75.00 |
| 07-21 21:34 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0169999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-21 21:32 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4019999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 18:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5874999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 18:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 21:20 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999991 | $70.00 |
| 07-14 21:18 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 21:11 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |