PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4dcADCD1502a3674fE05942BB533F121b8a35c55-1769945683740

0x4dcadcd1502a3674fe05942bb533f121b8a35c55

Realised P&L
$456.53
Volume
$43.3k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$554.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.2890.470$146.53+$56.53
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.5800.710$110.17+$20.17
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2580.125$96.72−$103.28
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes0.1400.135$96.43−$3.57
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.135$84.38+$9.38
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0170.004$13.24−$36.76
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0220.015$6.59−$3.41
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$100.00
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$30.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:41Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?BUY0.1399999999$100.00
10-31 18:37Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.0668558097$101.30
10-24 17:29Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.022$10.00
10-24 17:29Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.033$50.00
10-24 17:24Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.2886784933$90.00
10-24 17:23Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.5799999992$90.00
10-24 17:17Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.71$176.61
07-21 21:35Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.12$75.00
07-21 21:34Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.0169999997$50.00
07-21 21:32Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4019999991$100.00
07-19 18:30Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5874999985$100.00
07-19 18:30Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.55$100.00
07-14 21:20England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999991$70.00
07-14 21:18Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsBUY0.24$30.00
07-14 21:11England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5099999985$100.00