0x4dc6a77af2766a959fe347df313eb1f6be78a689
0x4dc6a77af2766a959fe347df313eb1f6be78a689
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 350
- Open portfolio
- $0.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded350
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.234 | 0.002 | $0.18 | −$27.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$246.25at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$169.86at 0.206Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$139.98at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$92.99at 0.208Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$90.11at 0.337Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.229999997 | $1.53 |
| 10-12 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2314814815 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2364864865 | $7.00 |
| 10-12 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2364864865 | $7.00 |
| 10-12 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 04:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 04:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-12 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 03:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $1.89 |
| 10-12 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |