CkLockedIn
0x4dc6255e3ececcb2e5df36163bf2a29ed00f5c64
- Realised P&L
- $-32.83
- Volume
- $801.57
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $5.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.082 | $3.79 | −$4.51 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.210 | 0.105 | $1.25 | −$1.25 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.26 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.16at 0.359Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.84at 0.430Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
- +$3.21at 0.483Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
- +$3.12at 0.619Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?
- +$0.92at 0.767Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 09:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 06-02 09:30 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 17:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 05-31 17:55 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.15 |
| 05-18 08:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 08:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.4199999531 | $4.30 |
| 05-18 07:16 | Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.25 |
| 05-13 08:46 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 08:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2099999496 | $2.50 |
| 05-05 08:12 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.5199999844 | $4.00 |
| 05-05 07:51 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 07:19 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? | BUY | 0.3099999659 | $3.72 |
| 04-28 07:16 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.4829999264 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 07:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $2.87 |
| 04-17 07:43 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0468947029 | $3.00 |