risky248
0x4dc2794bb0de8ae2044e27be8ef99dc4bf40698a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $107.9k
- Markets traded
- 753
- Open portfolio
- $33.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded753
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$363.54at 0.661Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
- +$329.37at 0.666LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
- +$232.12at 0.769Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$211.69at 0.769Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$164.83at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:53 | Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India | BUY | 0.2121212121 | $35.00 |
| 10-02 20:19 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $128.07 |
| 10-02 19:43 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 14:27 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 14:03 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.95 | $62.29 |
| 10-02 13:49 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6099999953 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 13:48 | Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $176.64 |
| 10-02 13:03 | Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A | BUY | 0.5655283655 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 16:40 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.3448117301 | $28.93 |
| 09-20 16:38 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $9.00 |
| 09-20 16:24 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 15:41 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 15:02 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 12:40 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3275206676 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 12:26 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3299999979 | $20.00 |