Beelzebub
0x4dc0ad139adc9a18e3f109ff42b74a060ca10f20
- Realised P&L
- $915.38
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $527.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.840 | 0.920 | $109.52 | +$9.52 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $106.25 | +$6.25 |
| Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $89.29 | −$10.71 |
| Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West? · No | 0.520 | 0.900 | $86.54 | +$36.54 |
| Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West? · Yes | 0.332 | 0.195 | $58.65 | −$41.35 |
| Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.710 | $35.50 | +$25.00 |
| Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No | 0.760 | 0.885 | $23.29 | +$3.29 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.141 | $14.15 | +$10.65 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.028 | $2.75 | +$1.05 |
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2026 NFC West? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $2.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$600.18at 0.015Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$400.50at 0.025Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
- +$49.99at 0.160Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?
- +$14.07at 0.531Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$11.10at 0.260Lions vs. Vikings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 19:28 | Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 09-09 19:28 | Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2026 NFC West? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.13 |
| 09-09 19:23 | Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West? | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 19:23 | Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West? | BUY | 0.3324848442 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 19:21 | Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 19:20 | Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 19:18 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $92.00 |
| 09-09 19:18 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.50 |
| 09-09 19:16 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 09-09 19:14 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 11-10 18:51 | Buccaneers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 11-10 18:49 | Eagles vs. Packers | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 11-10 06:53 | Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 11-10 06:53 | Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 11-10 06:53 | Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year? | BUY | 0.149 | $4.66 |