PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

63f1g63df

0x4dbcdfe4af08adb0644e0137e4421b14f34e9fea

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$46.6k
Markets traded
365
Open portfolio
$232.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded365
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.715$35.75+$8.75
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.705$35.25+$8.25
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.4700.420$21.00−$2.50
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.7100.795$15.90+$1.70
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.785$15.70−$0.50
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.7700.755$15.10−$0.30
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.865$14.83−$0.26
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? · No0.8800.725$14.50−$3.10
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.7200.550$11.00−$3.40
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.385$7.70−$3.30
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.135$6.75−$17.75
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.2400.130$6.50−$5.50
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? · Yes0.5200.285$5.70−$4.70
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.5300.450$5.53−$0.98
Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? · No0.2900.248$4.96−$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 09:11Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.85$16.94
09-21 03:03Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.24$4.80
09-15 17:58Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?SELL0.76$15.20
09-15 08:44Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$9.20
09-06 15:09Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?SELL0.68$13.60
09-05 21:41Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?SELL0.14$2.73
09-02 22:00Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.8$14.25
09-02 16:14US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.11$2.20
08-28 22:48Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?SELL0.24$4.80
08-25 19:48Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.84$16.80
08-24 11:20Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.83$16.60
08-23 07:44Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.06$1.19
08-23 07:44Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.06$0.01
08-20 07:18Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.218$4.36
08-20 07:18Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80