63f1g63df
0x4dbcdfe4af08adb0644e0137e4421b14f34e9fea
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $46.6k
- Markets traded
- 365
- Open portfolio
- $232.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded365
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:11 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $16.94 |
| 09-21 03:03 | Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-15 17:58 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 09-15 08:44 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-06 15:09 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-05 21:41 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.73 |
| 09-02 22:00 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | SELL | 0.8 | $14.25 |
| 09-02 16:14 | US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-28 22:48 | Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 08-25 19:48 | Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 08-24 11:20 | Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-23 07:44 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.19 |
| 08-23 07:44 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.01 |
| 08-20 07:18 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.218 | $4.36 |
| 08-20 07:18 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |