PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FreshlyManners

0x4dba6f046ef237505d4417a7ba6c2cb52b5d3de8

Realised P&L
$-207.73
Volume
$97.4k
Markets traded
1,188
Open portfolio
$130.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,188
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3? · Yes0.9080.950$71.92+$3.14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3? · No0.9670.962$58.86−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 2? · Yes0.7430.001$0.01−$9.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2? · Yes0.5100.001$0.00−$3.21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2? · Yes0.8200.001$0.00−$4.55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 28? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 18? · No0.1640.000$0.00−$2.91
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 8? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 18? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 21? · No0.5340.000$0.00−$12.72
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 28? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$5.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 19:56Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 2?BUY0.975$9.86
10-02 19:56Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 2?BUY0.975$5.92
10-02 19:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?BUY0.96$58.77
10-02 19:06Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.9673636067$59.22
10-02 18:40Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 2?BUY0.742574256$10.00
10-02 18:07Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?BUY0.8199999748$4.55
10-02 17:02Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 2?BUY0.8789999442$10.00
10-02 16:48Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?SELL0.999$0.01
10-02 16:19Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 2?SELL0.997$4.99
10-02 16:19Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 2?SELL0.999$5.09
10-02 16:19Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2?SELL0.999$4.36
10-02 15:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2?BUY0.8499999915$5.00
10-02 15:11Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 2?BUY0.8420538166$30.00
10-02 13:27Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
10-02 12:30Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 2?SELL0.999$5.00