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Traders

Methaslegs

0x4db7faf6e54524836661a3570fa296ff0734d20e

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$2.15M
Markets traded
392
Open portfolio
$11.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded392
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2820.403$4.2k+$1.3k
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8770.847$1.9k−$67.11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1070.135$1.6k+$317.59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1880.115$1.1k−$729.92
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.7000.815$814.99+$115.00
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8410.935$713.32+$72.11
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8700.410$313.08−$351.27
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8800.979$188.57+$18.96
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2480.019$97.50−$1.1k
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0310.024$23.50−$7.50
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.6610.025$13.87−$345.71
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$153.50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$20.75
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$129.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 04:09Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.17$85.00
10-07 16:54Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL0.37$85.24
10-07 16:53Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.5$187.50
10-07 16:52Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.62097884$465.73
10-07 16:52Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.2621032727$72.08
10-07 16:51Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.26$65.01
10-07 16:50Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.877$1.9k
10-05 14:31Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on October 8?BUY0.999$360.64
09-09 12:24LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.02710002$13.55
09-09 12:24LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.05$48.30
09-09 06:57LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.09$41.94
06-14 16:47Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?SELL0.941$52.96
06-13 19:10Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.64$20.00
06-13 19:09Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.83$20.75
05-28 06:17Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.06$60.00