Methaslegs
0x4db7faf6e54524836661a3570fa296ff0734d20e
- Realised P&L
- $6.1k
- Volume
- $2.19M
- Markets traded
- 389
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded389
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.403Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.3kat 0.775Aster all time high by December 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.119Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$738.88at 0.037Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$379.09at 0.927Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:24 | LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.02710002 | $13.55 |
| 09-09 12:24 | LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.05 | $48.30 |
| 09-09 06:57 | LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.09 | $41.94 |
| 06-14 16:47 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.941 | $52.96 |
| 06-13 19:10 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 06-13 19:09 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.83 | $20.75 |
| 05-28 06:17 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 05-28 06:16 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.031 | $21.15 |
| 05-28 06:08 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $120.00 |
| 05-28 06:08 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $170.00 |
| 05-28 06:07 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.23 | $184.10 |
| 05-28 06:06 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $120.00 |
| 05-28 06:05 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $170.00 |
| 05-28 06:05 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.23 | $230.00 |
| 05-28 05:58 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $109.32 |