poosiesniffer
0x4db4c6223aa98013b7b3ab494643268c523ea21f
- Realised P&L
- $-7.7k
- Volume
- $55.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.455 | $1.4k | −$1.4k |
| Brex IPO before 2027? · No | 0.957 | 0.987 | $260.53 | +$7.90 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? · Yes | 0.738 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.6k |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.747Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$210.00at 0.790US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
- +$-1.0kat 0.210Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 20:43 | Brex IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.965 | $389.86 |
| 06-15 20:43 | Brex IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.966 | $75.58 |
| 06-15 20:42 | Brex IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $43.25 |
| 06-15 20:42 | Brex IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $39.04 |
| 05-17 03:02 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $144.34 |
| 05-17 03:00 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 05-17 02:59 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.9079443325 | $441.68 |
| 05-17 02:59 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $327.17 |
| 05-17 02:59 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $183.11 |
| 05-17 02:57 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $34.58 |
| 05-17 02:56 | Brex IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $196.00 |
| 05-17 02:56 | Brex IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.985 | $884.10 |
| 05-17 02:56 | Brex IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.986 | $145.84 |
| 05-17 02:55 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.6k |
| 05-17 02:41 | Brex IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.99 | $434.59 |