0x4db22661508A334469B6AE035543bdB31be7448A-1771985677216
0x4db22661508a334469b6ae035543bdb31be7448a
- Realised P&L
- $-967.93
- Volume
- $26.9k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $245.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.40at 0.578Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
- +$127.82at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$117.32at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
- +$85.23at 0.699Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
- +$78.16at 0.617Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 06:48 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.08 | $29.43 |
| 05-25 20:29 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.401920214 | $100.00 |
| 05-23 20:32 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 17:01 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.3914825951 | $680.96 |
| 04-28 17:19 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 17:19 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 17:19 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 17:19 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 02:43 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.3523659527 | $50.00 |
| 03-28 07:46 | Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8514827016 | $265.58 |
| 03-28 07:02 | Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.99 | $18.00 |
| 03-28 07:00 | Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 06:56 | Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.141427285 | $3.14 |
| 03-28 06:35 | Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0789999325 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 06:30 | Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |