PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4db14c4cc9881487d9216747ee99d62df313cc45

0x4db14c4cc9881487d9216747ee99d62df313cc45

Realised P&L
$-15.54
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$2.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 24? · No0.9500.933$2.33$0.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on September 23? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? · No0.9600.000$0.00$2.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on September 17? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No0.9510.000$0.00$2.37
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 19? · No0.9680.000$0.00$2.42
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET · Down0.9700.000$0.00$1.20
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 19? · No0.9600.000$0.00$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 00:00Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on September 23?BUY0.001$1.00
09-22 16:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 24?BUY0.95$2.37
09-22 16:01Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22?BUY0.001$1.00
09-22 10:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?SELL0.999$2.49
09-22 10:44Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22?SELL0.999$2.50
09-22 00:06Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22?BUY0.001$1.00
09-21 21:24Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 22?SELL0.41$1.02
09-20 17:15Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 22?BUY0.95$2.37
09-20 16:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22?BUY0.96$2.40
09-20 16:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?BUY0.95$2.37
09-18 17:33Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 20?BUY0.9549999841$2.40
09-18 17:01Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20?BUY0.95$2.37
09-18 16:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20?BUY0.96$2.40
09-18 16:09Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18?BUY0.001$1.00
09-18 04:15Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 19?BUY0.968$2.42