0x4db14c4cc9881487d9216747ee99d62df313cc45
0x4db14c4cc9881487d9216747ee99d62df313cc45
- Realised P&L
- $-15.54
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $2.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 24? · No | 0.950 | 0.933 | $2.33 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on September 23? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on September 17? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No | 0.951 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.37 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 19? · No | 0.968 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.42 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET · Down | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 19? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.12at 0.953Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17?
- +$0.09at 0.963Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 18?
- +$0.09at 0.963Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16?
- +$0.09at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 17?
- +$0.09at 0.963Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 16:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 24? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.37 |
| 09-22 16:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.49 |
| 09-22 10:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:24 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 22? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.02 |
| 09-20 17:15 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 22? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.37 |
| 09-20 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.40 |
| 09-20 16:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.37 |
| 09-18 17:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9549999841 | $2.40 |
| 09-18 17:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.37 |
| 09-18 16:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.40 |
| 09-18 16:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 04:15 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 19? | BUY | 0.968 | $2.42 |