alyssagonzalez
0x4da920b95b0a20d14bc52f52e54722b56be650ad
- Realised P&L
- $-5.34
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $6.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on September 28? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.74 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 27? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $1.64 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $1.62 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.57 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.940Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 23?
- +$0.02at 0.990Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 20?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 20?
- +$0.01at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.74 |
| 07-02 13:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.57 |
| 06-26 18:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.63 |
| 05-17 21:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.61 |
| 04-23 19:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.9989994258 | $1.27 |
| 03-02 09:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.73 |
| 02-23 06:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 23? | BUY | 0.9399999692 | $1.22 |
| 02-20 06:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 02-12 09:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 12? | BUY | 0.9989994381 | $1.28 |
| 02-10 10:31 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on February 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.18 |
| 01-29 16:56 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 16:33 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 16:32 | Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 15:55 | Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 15:52 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.0k |