PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alyssagonzalez

0x4da920b95b0a20d14bc52f52e54722b56be650ad

Realised P&L
$-5.34
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$6.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on September 28? · No0.9981.000$1.74+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 27? · No0.9951.000$1.64+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18? · No0.9961.000$1.62+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3? · No0.9981.000$1.57+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 14:34Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on September 28?BUY0.998$1.74
07-02 13:29Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3?BUY0.998$1.57
06-26 18:37Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 27?BUY0.995$1.63
05-17 21:57Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?BUY0.996$1.61
04-23 19:18Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on April 24?BUY0.9989994258$1.27
03-02 09:46Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?BUY0.997$1.73
02-23 06:59Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 23?BUY0.9399999692$1.22
02-20 06:10Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 20?BUY0.99$1.98
02-12 09:40Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 12?BUY0.9989994381$1.28
02-10 10:31Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on February 10?BUY0.999$1.18
01-29 16:56Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.995$1.0k
01-29 16:33Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.996$1.0k
01-29 16:32Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.998$1.0k
01-29 15:55Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.999$1.0k
01-29 15:52Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$1.0k